"KASHMIR ISSUE"

"KASHMIR ISSUE" ****************** Rahul Gandhi has been advised by US agencies to join hands with National Conference, so their impending joint victory in the J&K elections can be presented as something more than a largely regional phenomenon. Regardless of who wins, regional pro Islamist political parties are likely to achieve a resounding collective victory. Pakistan is not going to disrupt the elections because the global conspiracy against India and Narendra Modi requires the J&K assembly election victory to have the legitimacy of significant popular participation. The J&K assembly will immediately repudiate the 2019 rescinding of articles 370 and 35A by India’s Lok Sabha, which the political parties likely to win the elections have promised to do. They will challenge their rescinding of 2019 by India’s Lok Sabha as unconstitutional because it did not have the consent of the J&K assembly as even former Foreign Secretary, Shyam Sharan and many others have suggested was envisaged. The national crisis precipitated will end up with India’s Supreme Court. Narendra Modi cannot acquiesce to this devastating challenge to India’s constitutional integrity and political credibility, especially owing to the multifarious practical consequences of the repudiation of articles 370 and 35A by parliament and after it has also been ratified by India’s Supreme Court. This is where rhe Supreme Court is likely to commit the most egregious act of national betrayal since Indian independence. It will fail to address to the issue with dispatch, allowing the political crisis to fester. The SC could potentially deprive the action of the J&K assembly legal validity by denouncing their resolution, but instead it will highly likely stall. It should be noted that it’s the CJI who has insisted the elections must be held in September, threatening the Election Commissioner with contempt of court if the EC does not do so. If the Modi government does nothing, as the horrifying consequences of the repudiation of the newly elected J&K assembly unfold, its authority will be in shreds and the legitimacy of the elected government in Delhi at a nadir. The next stage of the manufactured crisis (the occasion for regime change) will be widespread national protest against any decisive action undertaken by the Modi government. It will likely bring the country to a standstill. The unprecedented crisis may well be combined with a Khalistani assault on Delhi which is currently being prepared openly. The dire crisis may also be accompanied by bomb blasts and train derailments. At this juncture, Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu may threaten to abandon support for the NDA unless Narendra Modi resigns to defuse the crisis. Such a resignation will be a prerequisite for restoring articles 370 and 35A by fresh parliamentary legislation because the antecedent debacle will be blamed on Modi’s ill advised action in 2019. The ensuing crisis will be overcome by him admitting defeat and departing from politics. The global media will join in a massive chorus to support the ongoing regime change. For Modi, allowing the NDA to survive without him will be a better option than allowing it to fall and a new coalition cobbled together without the BJP. In addition, the continuance of the NDA will offer him some personal guarantees because there’s no country abroad for which he could depart. Finally, do recognise Modi has many enemies abroad and at home, including the bureaucracy, the entire political opposition and significant elements within the BJP itself and the RSS too. Most attach higher priority to Modi’s departure than the future of the country. His departure from political life will end the rise of India as a global player.